9/28 Ion Cutelaba vs. Khalil Rountree Jr.

Fighter Profiles:

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Robot Rationale:

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We are on upset alert here at Lionchalk! Khalil Rountree is a killer, and a major knockout threat, but two things have us focused on Ion Cutelaba. First, he’s landed over 10 more significant strikes per round in his UFC career than Rountree. Part of this stems from the fact that Rountree fights have a tendancy to end early, but the difference is large enough to be significant. Our model loves aggression and fighters that land volumes and volumes of significant strikes. Comparing the two histories side by side, the edge on this point goes to Cutelaba. Second, Cutelaba is a better wrestler. Rountree’s takedown defense statistics are in the lower 50% of light heavyweights, and those two data points taken together are probably worth at least one round. Cutelaba (+120).