Fighter Profiles:
Robot Rationale:
Both of these fighters are dangerous submission threats. In comparison, we measure Teixeira as the better as the better grappler, but both are dangerous on the ground. Krylov is an above average striker, but gets taken down a lot. In comparison, Teixeira is in the bottom quartile of light heavyweights in strikes landed per round, and also in the bottom quartile in terms of volume striking defense (he gets hit a lot). In summary, we see this match as an older grappler vs. a younger striker. The model picked Krylov at (-102).
This fight reminds us of:
March 9th, 2019. Sergio Moraes fought Anthony Rocco Martin in a Welterweight contest. Moraes was 8 years older with a trailing 5 year UFC winning percentage of 0.150 points lower than Martins (very close to the difference in this fight). Moraes also absorbed on average 7 more significant strikes per round (the exact difference in this fight). The match went to the judges scorecards and Martin won by unanimous decision.